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Injuries VS Wins

Apr 28, 2008 NHL

Behind the Net has a great article about something many of us wonder about:  How many wins do you lose when that top line player gets injured?  Here’s the basics of the methodology:

For the last five seasons, I looked at forwards who averaged 19 minutes or more per game and defensemen who averaged 21 minutes or more - and who played between 52 and 74 games with a single team. This roughly corresponds to a team’s top two forwards and top two defensemen. I compared their team’s record with them in the lineup to its record with them out of the lineup.

From this, Hawerchuk determined that a top-tier forward (the guys that get 19min+ of icetime) can cost you about 1.5 wins, whereas a top defenseman (21min+) costs as much as 4 wins.

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